Friday, 1 April 2011
Models Changing With Every Run
1st it was Oklahoma and Kansas then Nebraska, even parts of Missouri, but the latest Models yet again have changed with the GFS Firing Supercells in NE Kansas at 00z whereas the NAM Is showing Iowa lighting up with a Warm Front play. I still believe the Dryline is going to struggle to fire anything further South until the SE Moving Cold Front crashes into it and even that might not be until after dark. With this in Mind last nights Overnight Position of Hays (Kansas) would be changed tonight to Topeka (Ks) and await tomorrow's models, I have a feeling tomorrow is the day when 2 or more of the Models will converge on a pretty good chase area. Monday looking much more linear now with ongoing Storms across the Risk areas and little if any Cap inhibiting stronger Storms. It all looks like Iowa again!