Wednesday, 9 February 2011

Harsh Winter - Active Spring ??

Well after last years above average Snowy Winter for the Plains and subsequent Active 2010 Tornado Season maybe we should be eagerly looking forward to the April, May and June Season.

The Plains and indeed most of the US Has had incredible Temperatures and Snowfall over the past 30 days, temperatures in Oklahoma City earlier today touched -17c with -20c further West in the Oklahoma Panhandle, another 20" of Snowfall occured in Kansas with widely 4-6" across parts of Oklahoma, Texas mostly escaped this latest onslaught but got caught by last weeks Snowstorms. I really believe this will stand us in good stead once again for an Active Season.

2005 & 2006 were dreadful Springs for rotating Storms and Moisture return due mainly to the Harsh drought conditions over most of Central and Southern Texas over the winter period. I still think the Texas Panhandle and Western Kansas could do with a lot more Spring rain or the Dryline could be mixed much further East this Spring favouring Eastern Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas and Iowa, hopefully not as those chases become hard east of I-35.

The Models are painting a typical Continental Climate picture for later next week with temperatures into the 60's and even show 70's with good moisture for the end of the month with a much more Zonal Flow so maybe some Chasing chances by the end of February and Start of March, it will be interesting seeing how the Moisture is affected when that 1st System crashes through.

Will Update Again Soon



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