Tuesday 19 April 2011
Chase Target - Tue 19th April 2011
Ok had a look at the Models this morning and am going to leave my morning Position of Jefferson City and move eastwards through St Louis and base myself at Effingham (Illinois) and play the warm sector in the hopes something can fire east of the Low and not get outdone by the Cap. I have no doubt the first convection will fire around the NE Oklahoma, and SW Missouri area but this will very quickly evolve into a monster Cold Front Squall Line, there is a breif window for discrete Supercells before this happens but I would not fancy the terrain over there, By 9pm there will be a Line stretching from NE Texas to NE Indiana marching eastwards with more of a High Wind event. Helicity and Shear look very nice east of St Louis with 2000 - 3000jkg of Cape and good Temp and Dp Spreads at around 74/62f.