Tuesday 12 April 2011

Model Outlook A Lot Better

Thursday 14th looking a lot better now on the Medium Range Models with Thursday having at least Moderate Instability across Eastern Oklahoma, North East Texas and Eastern Kansas. The good thing is the GFS Has trended westwards on the latest runs and sets up the Dryline along the I-35 Corridoor. The better Tornado chances are furtjer east when Supercells Mature and hit the better Shear and the cranking LLJ. All this congeals into a Messy MCS Over the Arklatex overnight Thursday into Friday leaving a Friday risk in the Tennesse Valley. Looking further ahead Monday looking pretty scary at the moment with Moderate to Strong Instability progged across the Southern Plains, this could be the biggest set-up of the year for these areas if Models continue to show the Northward expansion of rich GOM Moisture ahead of the ejecting trough. The GOM Really is wide open this year in transporting moisture northwards it seems.

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